Cross-country comparison over absolute dates⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Cross-country comparison with approximately aligned start days⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Per-country analysis with exponential and sigmoidal projections, and new cases analysis⮸
IMPORTANT: The projections are only accurate if the fit is good (it often isn't), and assuming nothing changes
going forward. The sigmoid is omitted if a reasonable fit can't be computed, but this still doesn't mean that
the fit is good if it is shown.
The dashed lines show best fit projections from a few previous days for comparison.
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $719,714$ on 2020-10-28
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{683,789.9}{1 + 10^{-0.028 (t - 125.0)}}\) (asimptote \(683,789.9\))
Start date 2020-04-03 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $19,111$ on 2020-10-28
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{18,538.3}{1 + 10^{-0.021 (t - 126.2)}}\) (asimptote \(18,538.3\))
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $51,949$ on 2020-10-28
Start date 2020-03-20 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $8,548$ on 2020-10-28
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{13,600.3}{1 + 10^{-0.010 (t - 202.6)}}\) (asimptote \(13,600.3\))
Start date 2020-03-24 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $94$ on 2020-10-28
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{265.1}{1 + 10^{-0.009 (t - 247.7)}}\) (asimptote \(265.1\))
Start date 2020-03-20 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $753$ on 2020-10-28
Start date 2020-03-29 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $58,874$ on 2020-10-28
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{76,175.5}{1 + 10^{-0.019 (t - 189.8)}}\) (asimptote \(76,175.5\))
Start date 2020-04-02 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $823$ on 2020-10-28
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{1,043.8}{1 + 10^{-0.018 (t - 180.3)}}\) (asimptote \(1,043.8\))
Start date 2020-03-29 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $25,089$ on 2020-10-28
Start date 2020-03-13 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $54,278$ on 2020-10-28
Start date 2020-03-22 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $1,153$ on 2020-10-28
Start date 2020-03-13 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $48,093$ on 2020-10-28
Start date 2020-03-17 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $207,718$ on 2020-10-28
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{450,661.0}{1 + 10^{-0.012 (t - 232.1)}}\) (asimptote \(450,661.0\))
Start date 2020-03-22 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $3,506$ on 2020-10-28
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{6,306.3}{1 + 10^{-0.013 (t - 214.9)}}\) (asimptote \(6,306.3\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $32,621$ on 2020-10-28
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $5,555$ on 2020-10-28
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{5,357.7}{1 + 10^{-0.029 (t - 69.2)}}\) (asimptote \(5,357.7\))
Start date 2020-04-10 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $61$ on 2020-10-28
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{60.0}{1 + 10^{-0.040 (t - 58.9)}}\) (asimptote \(60.0\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $67$ on 2020-10-28
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $107,030$ on 2020-10-28
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{102,529.5}{1 + 10^{-0.025 (t - 97.8)}}\) (asimptote \(102,529.5\))
Start date 2020-03-22 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $6,234$ on 2020-10-28
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{5,959.2}{1 + 10^{-0.021 (t - 102.9)}}\) (asimptote \(5,959.2\))
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $1,622$ on 2020-10-28
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $5,083$ on 2020-10-28
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{5,221.7}{1 + 10^{-0.019 (t - 108.7)}}\) (asimptote \(5,221.7\))
Start date 2020-04-22 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $83$ on 2020-10-28
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{85.1}{1 + 10^{-0.024 (t - 74.4)}}\) (asimptote \(85.1\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $36$ on 2020-10-28